Tag: uncertainty

April 17, 2020 admin123@ No comments exist

Killed Killed by Covid-19:  forecasting experts, extrapolating into the future, based on the past.  Better to embrace uncertainty, build resilience & stocks, allow a margin of error, and respect diverse views.  Revived by Covid-19:  common sense & trusting our own instincts Guessed the Word?             Series 56 (4/8)       …

September 4, 2019 admin123@ No comments exist

Insolvent Die hard.  From a decade low in 2015, UK insolvencies have shot up 20%.  Out of 2018’s 17,439 corporate failures, construction was hit hardest with 3,940 insolvencies, despite the demand for new homes. Then admin/support firms (3,346), retail (2,608) & manufacturing (2,092).  Causes include Brexit uncertainty, business rates, pension enrolment & unsecured debt Guessed the…

February 23, 2019 admin123@ No comments exist

Flux Business goes on during flux &uncertainty, and the best firms seize the opportunities arising. We all crave certainty.  But what is certain, apart from death & taxes?  ‘In or Out’ is the binary position on Britain’s exit from the EU.  Would the only deal acceptable to all be so vague & meaningless it’s as…

December 3, 2018 admin123@ No comments exist

  Uncertainty Does uncertainty affect the economy?  Uncertainty spikes during recessions.  But the cause runs both ways: Uncertainty causes recessions because it makes consumers, employers & investors hesitate to spend.  When we all hesitate – that’s a recession Guessed the Word?         Series 34 (4/8)           [pic: pauloNicolello]